If you turn on the financial news or open the business pages, you will see an endless parade of predictions...
Strong financial plans are crafted with meaningful purpose, not more predictions.
If you turn on the financial news or open the business pages, you will see an endless parade of predictions. "Markets set to rally." "Recession looming." "Interest rates to pivot." "The death of the 60/40 portfolio."
Are you following a recipe for stress or success?
The financial industry (and many others!) is obsessed with the future. It sells the idea that if we can just agree (well, guess) what is going to happen next and position ourselves accordingly, we will see growth and security in our finances.
But here is the uncomfortable truth: nobody knows what is going to happen next.
Not the economists, not the fund managers, and certainly not the pundits. If the last few years have taught us anything, it is that the world is inherently unpredictable.
So, if we cannot predict the future, how do we invest for it?
We stop building portfolios based on predictions, and we start building them based on purpose.
Here’s the danger of prediction-based investing: investing based on predictions is exhausting. It requires you to be right twice: you have to know when to get out and when to get back in, when to sell and when to buy.
It also turns your financial plan into a gamble. If you move your money because you think inflation will fall, and it rises instead, your plan is broken. You are betting your family's or business's security on a coin flip.
This approach creates anxiety. It makes you a slave to the news cycle, constantly scanning the horizon for threats, reacting to every piece of data. It is a recipe for stress, not success.
However, a purpose-driven portfolio is different. It doesn't ask, "What is the market doing?" It asks, "What does this money need to do for me?"
It acknowledges that money has no intrinsic value; it is simply a tool to purchase a life.
When you invest with purpose, you give every pound, dollar, or rand a specific job.
When you shift from prediction to purpose, the noise fades away.
You stop worrying about whether the S&P 500 is overvalued, because your "Safety" bucket is full. You stop panicking about a recession because your "Growth" bucket has a 20-year horizon.
You replace the illusion of control (predicting the future) with actual control (allocating your resources).
Take a look at your investments. Do you know why you own what you own? If the answer is "because I think it will go up," that is a prediction. If the answer is "because this fund is allocated to pay for my daughter's education in 2035," that is a purpose.
Predictions are fragile. Purpose is resilient.
We don't just plan for markets, we plan for life. And life requires a plan that works no matter what the weatherman says.
Liron Mazor
Liron Mazor
Liron Mazor
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